🗳️ Elections
Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$25k
Liquidity
$23k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 50%. Kalshi has moved down 12pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
71%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2+ pts
63%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
56%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5+ pts
37%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
31%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 1+ pts
27%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 8+ pts
21%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 7+ pts
19%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 2+ pts
17%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
15%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
12%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 4+ pts
9%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
9%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 5+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
2%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$25k
Liquidity$23k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen