🗳️ Elections
Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 2+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
17%
No
83%
No (83%)Yes (17%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 17%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
65%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2+ pts
62%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
51%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4+ pts
44%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
35%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5+ pts
32%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 1+ pts
27%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
23%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 7+ pts
23%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 8+ pts
16%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
14%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
13%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
10%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 4+ pts
9%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 10+ pts
9%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 5+ pts
8%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
5%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen