🗳️ Elections
Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
61%
No
39%
No (39%)Yes (61%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$7k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 61%. Kalshi has moved down 12pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
68%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
50%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4+ pts
35%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5+ pts
29%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 1+ pts
27%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 7+ pts
25%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
24%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 8+ pts
21%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 2+ pts
21%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
16%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
12%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 4+ pts
9%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
8%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
7%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 5+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen