🗳️ Elections
Florida Senate margin of victory
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 50%. Kalshi has moved down 32pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Senate margin of victory
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 1+ pts
88%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 2+ pts
80%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 3+ pts
73%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 4+ pts
59%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 6+ pts
41%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 7+ pts
35%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 8+ pts
34%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 9+ pts
30%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 10+ pts
24%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 11+ pts
19%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 12+ pts
13%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 16+ pts
9%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Nixon, 2+ pts
9%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 14+ pts
8%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 18+ pts
5%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen