Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 16+ pts

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Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

94%

No (94%)Yes (6%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Georgia Senate margin of victory

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 2+ pts

94%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 4+ pts

81%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 6+ pts

71%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 8+ pts

47%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 10+ pts

32%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 18+ pts

24%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 12+ pts

21%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 14+ pts

16%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts

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Avg probability

probability of YES

Kalshi

6%Check

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$206

CategoryElections

StatusOpen