🗳️ Elections

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 16+ pts

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Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

11%

89%

No (89%)Yes (11%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Georgia Senate margin of victory

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 3+ pts

95%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 2+ pts

94%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 4+ pts

92%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 5+ pts

88%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 6+ pts

85%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 7+ pts

83%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 8+ pts

77%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 9+ pts

77%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 10+ pts

71%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 11+ pts

59%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 12+ pts

54%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 13+ pts

44%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 14+ pts

28%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 15+ pts

19%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 18+ pts

10%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts

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Avg probability

11%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$7k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen