Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 6+ pts

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Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

71%

29%

No (29%)Yes (71%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 71%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Georgia Senate margin of victory

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 2+ pts

94%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 4+ pts

81%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 8+ pts

47%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 10+ pts

32%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 18+ pts

24%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 12+ pts

21%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 14+ pts

16%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 16+ pts

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Avg probability

71%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$3k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen