Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 18+ pts

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Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

24%

76%

No (76%)Yes (24%)

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Probability History

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Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 24%. Kalshi has moved up 23pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Georgia Senate margin of victory

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 2+ pts

94%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 4+ pts

81%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 6+ pts

71%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 8+ pts

47%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 10+ pts

32%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 12+ pts

21%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 14+ pts

16%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 16+ pts

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Avg probability

24%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$2k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen