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🗳️ Elections
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Apr 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$9
Liquidity
$9

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%.

About this market

If, after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Jul 1, 2027
16%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Feb 1, 2027
7%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Jan 1, 2027
5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Dec 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
11%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Apr 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9
Liquidity$9
CategoryElections
StatusOpen