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📊 Macro
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.5%

Live
Resolves Oct 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$293
Liquidity
$9k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 81%.

About this market

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 0.0%
99%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 0.5%
99%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 1.0%
97%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.0%
95%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 1.5%
94%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 3.0%
68%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 3.5%
32%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 4.0%
20%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
81%
probability of YES
Kalshi
81%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$293
Liquidity$9k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen