🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Nov 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$62k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%. Kalshi has moved up 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2029
86%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2028
83%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2028
70%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2027
47%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2027
44%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Apr 1, 2027
37%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Dec 1, 2026
19%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Kalshi
14%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$62k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen