🗳️ Elections
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Dec 1, 2026
Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
47%
No
53%
No (53%)Yes (47%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 47%.
About this market
If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2029
94%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2027
93%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2028
90%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2028
87%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Oct 1, 2027
82%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Mar 1, 2027
68%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Feb 1, 2027
66%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Apr 1, 2027
59%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2027
52%
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen