🗳️ Elections
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Mar 1, 2027
Live
Resolves Mar 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
64%
No
36%
No (36%)Yes (64%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$7k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 64%.
About this market
If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2029
98%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2028
97%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 26, 2026
96%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2028
92%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Oct 1, 2027
89%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2027
88%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Apr 1, 2027
79%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Feb 1, 2027
63%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2027
61%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Dec 1, 2026
45%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 20, 2026
15%
Resolution
Mar 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen