Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 4+ pts

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Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

87%

13%

No (13%)Yes (87%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 87%.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Georgia Senate margin of victory

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 2+ pts

93%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 6+ pts

79%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 8+ pts

64%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 10+ pts

45%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 12+ pts

22%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 14+ pts

16%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 16+ pts

13%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 18+ pts

10%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts

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Avg probability

87%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$1k

Liquidity$8k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen