Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 14+ pts

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Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

16%

84%

No (84%)Yes (16%)

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Probability History

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Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 16%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Georgia Senate margin of victory

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 2+ pts

93%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 4+ pts

86%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 6+ pts

79%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 8+ pts

64%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 10+ pts

45%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 12+ pts

22%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 16+ pts

13%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Ossoff, 18+ pts

10%

Georgia Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts

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Avg probability

16%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$1

Liquidity$5k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen