🗳️ Elections
Maine Senate margin of victory
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$9k
Liquidity
$8k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 35%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 4.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 0.5+ pts
71%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts
68%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1.5+ pts
64%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2+ pts
59%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2.5+ pts
54%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts
50%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3.5+ pts
47%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4+ pts
41%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts
35%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5.5+ pts
32%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 6+ pts
27%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts
26%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts
25%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts
24%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 8+ pts
19%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts
17%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 4+ pts
15%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts
15%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts
12%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 6+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts
5%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 12+ pts
5%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 8+ pts
5%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 10+ pts
5%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen