🗳️ Elections
Maine Senate margin of victory
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$14k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 18pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts
54%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts
37%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts
37%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts
29%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts
20%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts
20%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts
10%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts
6%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen