🗳️ Elections
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 37%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts
54%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts
37%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts
29%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts
20%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts
20%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts
13%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts
10%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts
6%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
37%
probability of YES
Kalshi
37%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen