🗳️ Elections

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 16+ pts

Live

Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

36%

64%

No (64%)Yes (36%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 36%.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 1+ pts

98%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 2+ pts

97%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 4+ pts

94%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 3+ pts

94%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 5+ pts

91%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 7+ pts

86%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 6+ pts

85%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 10+ pts

82%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 8+ pts

82%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 9+ pts

80%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 9.5+ pts

79%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 10.5+ pts

72%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 11+ pts

71%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 11.5+ pts

69%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 12+ pts

63%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 12.5+ pts

62%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 13+ pts

54%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 13.5+ pts

47%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 14+ pts

46%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 14.5+ pts

44%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 15+ pts

42%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 15.5+ pts

41%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 16.5+ pts

37%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 17+ pts

31%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 17.5+ pts

29%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 18+ pts

25%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 19+ pts

24%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 20+ pts

16%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 21+ pts

12%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Whatley, 1+ pts

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Avg probability

36%

probability of YES

Kalshi

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$768

Liquidity$4k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen