🗳️ Elections
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 0.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
63%
No
37%
No (37%)Yes (63%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$271
Liquidity
$347
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 63%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 0.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · South Carolina Senate margin of victory
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 1+ pts
60%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 1.5+ pts
54%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 2.5+ pts
51%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 2+ pts
50%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 3+ pts
46%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 3.5+ pts
42%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 4+ pts
38%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 4.5+ pts
37%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 1+ pts
29%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 5+ pts
28%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 5.5+ pts
25%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 6+ pts
22%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 2+ pts
22%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 3+ pts
18%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 7+ pts
15%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 8+ pts
14%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 9+ pts
11%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 5+ pts
11%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 4+ pts
10%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 11+ pts
7%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 13+ pts
4%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 17+ pts
3%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 15+ pts
2%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 19+ pts
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$271
Liquidity$347
CategoryElections
StatusOpen