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South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 4+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 0.5+ pts
65%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 1+ pts
63%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 1.5+ pts
58%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 2+ pts
56%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 2.5+ pts
54%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 3+ pts
49%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 4+ pts
42%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 3.5+ pts
38%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 4.5+ pts
38%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 5.5+ pts
31%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 5+ pts
30%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 1+ pts
27%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 6+ pts
24%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 2+ pts
22%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 7+ pts
19%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 3+ pts
16%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 8+ pts
14%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 9+ pts
11%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 5+ pts
8%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 11+ pts
7%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 13+ pts
5%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 17+ pts
3%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 15+ pts
1%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 19+ pts
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
10%
probability of YES
Kalshi
10%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen