🗳️ Elections
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before Jan 21, 2029
78%
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2028
52%
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before June 2027
21%
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2027
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$10k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen