🗳️ Elections
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2028

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
52%
No
48%
No (48%)Yes (52%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 52%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before Jan 21, 2029
78%
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before June 2027
21%
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2027
7%
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
52%
probability of YES
Kalshi
52%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen