🗳️ Elections
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$70k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 7%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$70k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen