New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before Jan 21, 2029

Live

Resolves Jan 21, 2029Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

78%

22%

No (22%)Yes (78%)

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 78%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

78%

probability of YES

Kalshi

Resolution

Jan 21, 2029

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$420

CategoryElections

StatusOpen