🗳️ Elections
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before June 2027

Live
Resolves Jun 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 21%. Kalshi has moved down 42pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and May 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before Jan 21, 2029
78%
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2028
52%
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2027
7%
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
21%
probability of YES
Kalshi
21%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jun 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen