🗳️ Elections
Kansas Senate margin of victory
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 21%. Kalshi has moved up 11pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Kansas Senate margin of victory
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 1+ pts
49%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 1+ pts
46%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 3+ pts
32%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 3+ pts
29%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 5+ pts
17%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 7+ pts
13%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 9+ pts
10%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 7+ pts
10%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 11+ pts
7%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 9+ pts
7%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 13+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 19+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 17+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 21+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 15+ pts
4%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 23+ pts
4%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen