🗳️ Elections
Kansas Senate margin of victory
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 3+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$23k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 23%. Kalshi has moved down 13pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Kansas Senate margin of victory
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 1+ pts
56%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 0.5+ pts
56%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 1.5+ pts
49%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 2+ pts
49%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 2.5+ pts
42%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 3+ pts
40%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 0.5+ pts
39%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 1+ pts
35%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 4+ pts
33%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 1.5+ pts
31%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 2+ pts
29%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 5+ pts
25%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 6+ pts
22%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 2.5+ pts
21%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 7+ pts
19%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 4+ pts
17%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 9+ pts
12%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 8+ pts
12%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 6+ pts
10%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 8+ pts
10%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 5+ pts
10%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 7+ pts
9%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 9+ pts
6%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 19+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 17+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 15+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 21+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 23+ pts
4%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 13+ pts
4%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 11+ pts
4%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$23k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen