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Kansas Senate margin of victory

Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 7+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$141
Liquidity
$15k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Kansas Senate margin of victory

Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 0.5+ pts
63%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 1+ pts
59%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 1.5+ pts
50%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 2+ pts
44%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 3+ pts
43%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 2.5+ pts
43%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 4+ pts
34%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 0.5+ pts
34%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 1+ pts
32%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 2+ pts
28%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 5+ pts
26%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 1.5+ pts
26%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 2.5+ pts
23%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 6+ pts
23%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 7+ pts
21%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 3+ pts
21%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 4+ pts
16%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 5+ pts
14%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 8+ pts
14%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 6+ pts
13%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 8+ pts
10%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 9+ pts
9%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 9+ pts
6%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 17+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 19+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 15+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 21+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 23+ pts
4%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 13+ pts
4%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 11+ pts
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
10%
probability of YES
Kalshi
10%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$141
Liquidity$15k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen