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Kansas Senate margin of victory

Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 2+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
87%
No
13%
No (13%)Yes (87%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 87%.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Kansas Senate margin of victory

Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 1+ pts
99%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 3+ pts
97%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 2.5+ pts
96%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 0.5+ pts
89%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 4+ pts
75%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 7+ pts
74%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 1.5+ pts
71%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 5+ pts
62%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 6+ pts
47%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 8+ pts
37%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Hamilton, 9+ pts
22%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 2.5+ pts
17%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 6+ pts
11%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 2+ pts
10%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 9+ pts
8%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 0.5+ pts
8%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 4+ pts
6%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 8+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 19+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 17+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 21+ pts
5%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 23+ pts
4%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 15+ pts
4%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 1.5+ pts
3%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 1+ pts
2%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 3+ pts
2%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 11+ pts
2%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 13+ pts
1%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 5+ pts
1%
Kansas Senate margin of victory — Marshall, 7+ pts
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
87%
probability of YES
Kalshi
87%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen