🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 9
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$8k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 9 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 3
98%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 4
94%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 5
78%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 6
44%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 7
14%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 8
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 10
2%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen