🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 4
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 81%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 3
96%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 5
68%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 6
46%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 7
21%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 8
5%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 9
2%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 10
2%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen