🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 3
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$8k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 98%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 4
88%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 5
74%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 6
44%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 7
16%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 8
5%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 10
2%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 9
2%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen