🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 7
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
17%
No
83%
No (83%)Yes (17%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$691
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 17%. Kalshi has moved down 13pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 7 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 3
98%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 4
93%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 5
77%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 6
44%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 8
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 10
1%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 9
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$691
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen