🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 3
Live
Resolves Nov 17, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
86%
No
14%
No (14%)Yes (86%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 86%. Kalshi has moved down 9pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 3 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 4
52%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 5
32%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 6
30%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 7
7%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 10
2%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 9
1%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 8
1%
Resolution
Nov 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen