🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 8
Live
Resolves Nov 17, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 3
93%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 4
54%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 5
43%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 6
31%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 7
6%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 10
2%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 9
1%
Resolution
Nov 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen