🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Nov 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 12%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Dec 1, 2026
33%
Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Jan 1, 2027
30%
Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Oct 1, 2026
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Kalshi
12%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen