🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Dec 1, 2026
33%
Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Jan 1, 2027
30%
Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Nov 1, 2026
12%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen