🗳️ Elections
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 2.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
53%
No
47%
No (47%)Yes (53%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 53%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 2.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · South Carolina Senate margin of victory
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 0.5+ pts
64%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 1+ pts
63%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 1.5+ pts
60%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 2+ pts
51%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 3+ pts
48%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 3.5+ pts
40%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 4+ pts
34%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 4.5+ pts
33%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 5+ pts
31%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 1+ pts
28%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 5.5+ pts
24%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 6+ pts
23%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 2+ pts
22%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 3+ pts
19%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 7+ pts
15%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 8+ pts
15%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 4+ pts
14%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 9+ pts
11%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 5+ pts
9%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 11+ pts
7%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 13+ pts
4%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 17+ pts
3%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 15+ pts
2%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 19+ pts
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen