🗳️ Elections
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — L3Harris
Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
75%
No
25%
No (25%)Yes (75%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$59k
Liquidity
$22k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 75%.
About this market
If a Source Agency confirms after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026 that a failure in a network or system run by L3Harris caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Specific cause confirmed
98%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — System failure
94%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Maintenance/upgrade
87%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Contractor failure
86%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Software/config error
75%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Human error
13%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — AI system error
8%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — SMART system
8%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Physical damage
5%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Verizon
3%
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$59k
Liquidity$22k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen