🗳️ Elections
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Dec 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
53%
No
47%
No (47%)Yes (53%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$11
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 53%. Kalshi has moved down 13pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Jan 2027
54%
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Nov 2026
37%
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Oct 2026
17%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
53%
probability of YES
Kalshi
53%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$11
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen