🗳️ Elections
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Jan 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 2, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
54%
No
46%
No (46%)Yes (54%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 54%. Kalshi has moved down 14pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
54%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen