🗳️ Elections
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Nov 2026

Live
Resolves Nov 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$26
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 37%. Kalshi has moved down 18pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Jan 2027
54%
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Dec 2026
53%
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Oct 2026
17%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
37%
probability of YES
Kalshi
37%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$26
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen