🗳️ Elections
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Oct 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
17%
No
83%
No (83%)Yes (17%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 17%. Kalshi has moved down 10pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
17%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen