🗳️ Elections

Will Trump's first 2028 endorsee lose the GOP nomination?

Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$200
Liquidity
$200

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%.

About this market

If the first candidate Donald Trump endorses for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination does not win the nomination at the 2028 Republican National Convention, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Sep 30, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$200
Liquidity$200
CategoryElections
StatusOpen