🗳️ Elections
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Ilham Tohti

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If Ilham Tohti wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yulia Navalnaya
20%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
15%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
13%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Save the Children
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Court of Justice (ICJ)
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Committee to Protect Journalists
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Julian Assange
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mark Carney
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — World Central Kitchen / José Andrés
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Criminal Court
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Pope Leo XIV
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNRWA
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sara Al-Saqqa
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Jimmy Lai
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Hussam Abu Safiya
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNHCR
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Parents Circle – Families Forum
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Reporters Without Borders (RSF)
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Daria Egereva
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Donald Trump
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — David Attenborough
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Space Station / ISS partnership
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sam Altman
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Dario Amodei
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Narges Mohammadi
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Francesca Albanese
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Doctors Without Borders
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Elon Musk
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen