🗳️ Elections
Alaska Senate margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 6+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$755
Liquidity
$13k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Mary Peltola wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Alaska Senate margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 1+ pts
99%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 0.5+ pts
99%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 2.5+ pts
99%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3+ pts
98%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 1.5+ pts
98%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3.5+ pts
96%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 2+ pts
96%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 4+ pts
93%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 4.5+ pts
75%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 5+ pts
6%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 5.5+ pts
6%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 4+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 8+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 6+ pts
0%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 2+ pts
0%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 10+ pts
0%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 10+ pts
0%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 8+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$755
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen