🗳️ Elections
Alaska Senate margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
90%
No
10%
No (10%)Yes (90%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$34k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 90%.
About this market
If Mary Peltola wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska by 3.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Alaska Senate margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 0.5+ pts
99%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 1.5+ pts
99%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 2+ pts
98%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 1+ pts
97%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 2.5+ pts
96%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3+ pts
92%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 4+ pts
91%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 4.5+ pts
65%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 5+ pts
28%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 5.5+ pts
13%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 8+ pts
7%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 6+ pts
5%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 10+ pts
2%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 2+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 10+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 4+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 8+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 6+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$34k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen