🗳️ Elections
Alaska Senate margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 2.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 98%. Kalshi has moved up 17pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Mary Peltola wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska by 2.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Alaska Senate margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 0.5+ pts
99%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 1.5+ pts
99%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 2+ pts
98%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 1+ pts
97%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3+ pts
92%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3.5+ pts
90%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 4+ pts
85%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 4.5+ pts
65%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 5+ pts
36%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 5.5+ pts
13%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 8+ pts
7%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 6+ pts
5%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 10+ pts
2%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 2+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 10+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 4+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 8+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 6+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen