🗳️ Elections
Alaska Senate margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 4+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$15k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Alaska Senate margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 1.5+ pts
99%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 0.5+ pts
99%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 1+ pts
97%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 2.5+ pts
96%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 2+ pts
95%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3+ pts
92%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3.5+ pts
90%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 5.5+ pts
88%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 4+ pts
76%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 4.5+ pts
60%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 5+ pts
38%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 6+ pts
15%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 10+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 10+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 8+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 2+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 8+ pts
1%
Alaska Senate margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 6+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$15k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen