🗳️ Elections
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2029
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2029KalshiVolume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1
Liquidity
$1
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 98%. Kalshi has moved up 48pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2028
97%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2028
92%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Oct 1, 2027
84%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2027
80%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Apr 1, 2027
74%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Feb 1, 2027
73%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Mar 1, 2027
70%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2027
47%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Dec 1, 2026
24%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 26, 2026
19%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 20, 2026
11%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1
Liquidity$1
CategoryElections
StatusOpen